4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,928 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Other
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$684/mo
Annual
$8,214/yr
Cap rate
24.55%
Cash-on-cash
65.19%
DSCR
3.90
1% rule
2.81%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#324 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Van-Far R-I (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #218 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RR19PS09VZYRC7
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29