806 N Galloway Rd · Vandalia, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots of room! Will be active for showings 4/3/26 - looking for a CASH buyer, seller to do no repairs.
Key facts
- 1.45 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1967
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#324 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Van-Far R-I (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #218 of 324 in MO (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.19%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.41×
- Total profit
- $68,122
- Equity at exit
- $40,540
- IRR
- 70.8%
- Equity multiple
- 14.20×
- Total profit
- $166,368
- Equity at exit
- $87,425
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63382
- Home prices YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $703/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $684
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Lots of room! Will be active for showings 4/3/26 - looking for a CASH buyer, seller to do no repairs.
-
2026-04-21price $45,000 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Lots of room! Will be active for showings 4/3/26 - looking for a CASH buyer, seller to do no repairs.
-
2026-04-03$50,000 Active 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Lots of room! Will be active for showings 4/3/26 - looking for a CASH buyer, seller to do no repairs.
-
2026-03-28historical $50,000 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
Lots of room! Will be active for showings 4/3/26 - looking for a CASH buyer, seller to do no repairs.
-
2026-03-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $703 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$703
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $7,973
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,914
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van-Far R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2930780
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,980
- Composite
- 29.57/100
- National rank
- #6486
- State rank
- #218 of 324 in MO
Livability — Vandalia
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #324
- US rank
- #14831
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vandalia, MO
- City population
- 4,127
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,127
Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,791 people
- By 2030
- 28,684 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 30,598 · +10.1%
- By 2050
- 32,319 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 36,395 · +31.0%
- By 2100
- 37,277 · +34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Audrain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.81%
- Current HPI
- 182.948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Coming Soon $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $703 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…