2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
441 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 276 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,868/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$907
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$280/mo
Annual
$3,359/yr
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.93%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$48,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $173k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $173k).
It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Mountain Home School District (town): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #40 of 238 in AR (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hackler Intermediate School (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #116 of 454 statewide, top 26%, 830 students, 46% FRL); Pinkston Middle School (math 55% / reading 50%, grade C+, #27 of 201 statewide, top 14%, 624 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Baxter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baxter County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.5% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— basic and dated
Minor: interior paint
— light wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-RR6BKF22VWBMTB
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29