None bd · 12.0 ba ·
7,682 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$0/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,146
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$0
Net cashflow
$-3,721/mo
Annual
$-44,655/yr
Cap rate
-1.15%
Cash-on-cash
-26.58%
DSCR
-0.18
1% rule
0.00%
Cash to close
$168,000
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/12.0-bath townhouse listed at $600k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-45k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($582k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $582k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#508 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Arkoma (suburban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #287 of 513 in OK (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $475k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RRZ5NK1VB26BSE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29