2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,813 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-142/mo
Annual
$-1,698/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (34.9% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Atkinson Academy (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #648 of 676 statewide, top 98%, 327 students, 88% FRL); Kammerer Middle (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 720 students, 52% FRL); Pleasure Ridge Park High (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #220 of 254 statewide, top 87%, 1,517 students, 63% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RSNH8H9E6GZQDD
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29