3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,631 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,469/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$519
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,898/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $307k (8.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $247k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-694 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sally Ride Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 406 students, 71% FRL); Oak Ridge High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #544 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,477 students, 66% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $142k; list at $335k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29