15 bd · 12.0 ba ·
3,340 sqft ·
Built 1999
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,040
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$956
Net cashflow
$1,101/mo
Annual
$13,217/yr
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.13%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$108,920
Investor read
This is a 1×5bd/4.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $389k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $367/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $389k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($377k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $377k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bess T Shepherd Elementary (math 16% / reading 15%, grade F, #745 of 952 statewide, top 79%, 496 students, 0% FRL); Tyner Middle Academy (math 12% / reading 11%, grade F, #247 of 333 statewide, top 75%, 392 students, 0% FRL); Tyner Academy (math 8% / reading 5%, grade F, #305 of 332 statewide, top 92%, 559 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $245k; list at $389k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,550/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1975% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RVM02H48ABV8WC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29