3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,151/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$409
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$245/mo
Annual
$2,940/yr
Cap rate
11.99%
Cash-on-cash
20.34%
DSCR
1.91
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$21,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $78k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#338 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Lee County School District (town): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #235 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Aerial view suggests a lack of proper roof coverage.