4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,602 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$535
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$867/mo
Annual
$10,405/yr
Cap rate
16.49%
Cash-on-cash
36.43%
DSCR
2.62
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$28,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $102k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($705 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
School City Of Hammond (suburban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #289 of 301 in IN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $102k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 5.8% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,936/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 900% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RVX7NZC4840MNF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29