3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,340 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,279/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-235/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.56%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-235/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#507 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Delta R-V (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #457 of 535 in MO (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Delta Elem. (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 105 students, 54% FRL); Delta High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #356 of 521 statewide, top 71%, 119 students, 60% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RXBNFT66BM0MTY
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29