2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
416 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Other
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,005/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$823
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-295/mo
Annual
$-3,543/yr
Cap rate
4.04%
Cash-on-cash
-8.06%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$43,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $157k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-295 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (27.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (36.0% below list).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Warsaw R-IX (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #222 of 324 in MO (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: John Boise Middle School (math 37% / reading 40%, grade F, #202 of 391 statewide, top 54%, 278 students, 99% FRL); Warsaw High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 403 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 61% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 275 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29