29703 Bobcat Dr · White Branch, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$157,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy the ease of lake living in this updated home with a swim dock, offering convenient access to the water for boating, fishing, and outdoor recreation. Renovated in 2017, this property features two bedrooms and an open-concept layout connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a comfortable space for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes appliances, and a stacked washer and dryer are located in the bathroom for added convenience. A deep soaking tub with a shower wand provides a relaxing place to unwind. Situated near the 80 mile marker of the Lake of the Ozarks, this property offers access to a variety of recreational opportunities. Set on two lots, there is additional space for future improvements such as expanding the home or adding a garage. The property is being offered furnished, providing a move-in-ready opportunity.
Key facts
- Two lots
- Move-in-ready
- Access to water
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-295 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (27.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (36.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Warsaw R-IX (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #222 of 324 in MO (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John Boise Middle School (math 37% / reading 40%, grade F, #202 of 391 statewide, top 54%, 278 students, 99% FRL); Warsaw High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 403 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 61% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 275 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.06%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,302
- List price
- $157,000
- Delta
- -24.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $21,465
- Equity at exit
- $93,296
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $79,412
- Equity at exit
- $164,712
Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65355
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 275
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$196 /mo · $2,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$4
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $-295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-187 | -5% $-241 | +0% $-295 | +5% $-350 | +10% $-404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-375 | -5% $-335 | +0% $-295 | +5% $-256 | +10% $-216 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-216 | -0.5pp $-255 | base $-295 | +0.5pp $-336 | +1.0pp $-377 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,250
- Closing costs
- $4,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $4 · $48/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $157,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $157,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $157,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $157,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $157,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $157,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $157,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $157,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $157,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $157,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $157,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $157,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $157,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $157,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $157,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $157,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $157,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-16$157,000 Active 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Enjoy the ease of lake living in this updated home with a swim dock, offering convenient access to the water for boating, fishing, and outdoor recreation. Renovated in 2017, this property features two bedrooms and an open-concept layout connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a comfortable space for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes appliances, and a stacked washer and dryer are located in the bathroom for added convenience. A deep soaking tub with a shower wand provides a relaxing place to unwind. Situated near the 80 mile marker of the Lake of the Ozarks, this property offers access to a variety of recreational opportunities. Set on two lots, there is additional space for future improvements such as expanding the home or adding a garage. The property is being offered furnished, providing a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-03-15$157,000 Active 869-char remark
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Enjoy the ease of lake living in this updated home with a swim dock, offering convenient access to the water for boating, fishing, and outdoor recreation. Renovated in 2017, this property features two bedrooms and an open-concept layout connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a comfortable space for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes appliances, and a stacked washer and dryer are located in the bathroom for added convenience. A deep soaking tub with a shower wand provides a relaxing place to unwind. Situated near the 80 mile marker of the Lake of the Ozarks, this property offers access to a variety of recreational opportunities. Set on two lots, there is additional space for future improvements such as expanding the home or adding a garage. The property is being offered furnished, providing a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2026-03-15$157,000 Active
Show marketing remark (869 chars)
Enjoy the ease of lake living in this updated home with a swim dock, offering convenient access to the water for boating, fishing, and outdoor recreation. Renovated in 2017, this property features two bedrooms and an open-concept layout connecting the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a comfortable space for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen includes appliances, and a stacked washer and dryer are located in the bathroom for added convenience. A deep soaking tub with a shower wand provides a relaxing place to unwind. Situated near the 80 mile marker of the Lake of the Ozarks, this property offers access to a variety of recreational opportunities. Set on two lots, there is additional space for future improvements such as expanding the home or adding a garage. The property is being offered furnished, providing a move-in-ready opportunity.
-
2005-03-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,057
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,794
- − Property taxes
- −$2,355
- − Insurance
- −$785
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − HOA
- −$48
- − Depreciation
- −$4,567
- Taxable loss
- −$6,422
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,541
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warsaw R-IX
- NCES district ID
- 2931070
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,160
- Composite
- 29.53/100
- National rank
- #6495
- State rank
- #222 of 324 in MO
Livability — White Branch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,029
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,355 people
- By 2030
- 16,513 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 14,898 · -14.2%
- By 2050
- 13,662 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 11,308 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 8,755 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.1) · D 20.1% · R 79.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.8pp toward R · 2008: -22.3pp · 2024: -59.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.1 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+54.1 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Current HPI
- 232.6924
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $157,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-15 Listed $157,000 WCAR
- 2026-03-15 Listed $157,000 LOBR
- 2005-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $239 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…