3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,589 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,594
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$67
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-900/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$85,117
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $304k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-900/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $291k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bryson El (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 547 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 36% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1050 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RXXY2H4GJTDMTV
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29