4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,980 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,601/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$373
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$546
Net cashflow
$816/mo
Annual
$9,793/yr
Cap rate
12.23%
Cash-on-cash
21.20%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $816 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hudson Falls Primary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 429 students, 42% FRL); Hudson Falls Middle School (math 16% / reading 44%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 498 students, 39% FRL); Hudson Falls High School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #452 of 1,100 statewide, top 44%, 694 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.9% in Hudson Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RYQ5GB0M4KMW88
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29