4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$456
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$429/mo
Annual
$5,143/yr
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.11%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$24,360
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Marion Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #328 of 760 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.1% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RYVC1R56ES80EB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29