206 E 6th St · Marion, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper - Large home with four bedrooms, 1 bath plus a bonus room. Nice lot fenced backyard. Exterior is in decent condition interior needs remodeling. Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the State of Michigan.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Fenced backyard
- 9,836 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.0% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #328 of 760 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marion Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #547 of 1,397 statewide, top 41%, 184 students, 80% FRL); Marion High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 235 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 57% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.76%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,836
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -60.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 N Carland St | 0.18mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (0%) | 8mo | $193,000 | $80 | 76 |
| 3777 20 Mile Rd | 0.94mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,400 (0%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 419 5th St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-21%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 302 E Main St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 2,210 (-8%) | 30mo | $140,500 | $64 | 50 |
| 202 W Main St | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 1,902 (-21%) | 9mo | $218,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 409 Fifth St | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 | 1,806 (-25%) | 18mo | $215,000 | $119 | 46 |
| 414 W Lane Ln | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 2,163 (-10%) | 16mo | $260,500 | $120 | 45 |
| 333 Eighth St | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,996 (+25%) | 22mo | $208,000 | $69 | 41 |
| 111 N Clark St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,824 (-24%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $107 | 36 |
| 502 W First | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,629 (+10%) | 30mo | $244,500 | $93 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $72,532
- Equity at exit
- $76,575
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.11×
- Total profit
- $193,014
- Equity at exit
- $165,136
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $97,900 ($53/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 2 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +70.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 49665
- Home prices YoY
- 11.3%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $412
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $441 | +0% $412 | +5% $382 | +10% $353 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $312 | -5% $362 | +0% $412 | +5% $462 | +10% $512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $433 | base $412 | +0.5pp $390 | +1.0pp $367 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities
- Public water
- Home design
- Traditional single-family residenceResidential propertyApproximately 2,400 square feet of living area
- Construction
- Built in 1900Vinyl sidingAsphalt roof
- Exterior features
- 0.23-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Baseboard heatingWall furnace
- Interior features
- 9 total roomsMichigan-style basement
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $85,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $85,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $85,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $85,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-02pricedays on market $85,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $87,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $87,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $87,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $87,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $87,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $87,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $87,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $87,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $87,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $87,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $87,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $87,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $87,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $87,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $87,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $87,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $87,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $87,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $87,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $87,000 Active 28 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,176
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$915
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This fixer-upper home requires moderate renovations to its exterior and interior, with a focus on painting and replacing dated fixtures and flooring. The home has a good roof and stable foundation, making it a good investment opportunity.
Deferred maintenance Est. $60,000–$180,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible in photos
- Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible in photos
- Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible in photos
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures visible in photos
- Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior walls or siding visible in photos
- Major Other — No other components visible in photos
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and needs repainting
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated and worn
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated and worn
- Moderate Flooring — Worn and needs replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Fresh paint can significantly improve curb appeal ↑
- Resale Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Replacing kitchen cabinets — Modern cabinets can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replacing bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replacing flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2622800
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 31.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,461
- Composite
- 37.86/100
- National rank
- #8710
- State rank
- #328 of 760 in MI
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #607
- US rank
- #20314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, MI
- County
- Osceola · 21,724 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,022
- Household income
- $51,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,724 people
- By 2030
- 20,769 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 18,720 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 16,611 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 11,942 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 7,546 · -65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 11% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.88%
- Current HPI
- 264.0932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Price Changed $87,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $87,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $87,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $92,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $92,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $95,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…