1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
805 sqft ·
Built 1948
· Condo
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,593/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$475
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$755
Net cashflow
$869/mo
Annual
$10,431/yr
Cap rate
9.95%
Cash-on-cash
13.07%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Rye City School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 93% proficiency, ranked #4 of 590 in NY (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Midland School (math 82% / reading 98%, grade A+, #37 of 2,108 statewide, top 2%, 460 students, 0% FRL); Rye Middle School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A+, #13 of 729 statewide, top 2%, 685 students, 0% FRL); Rye High School (math 100% / reading 87%, grade A+, #141 of 1,100 statewide, top 13%, 903 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.5% in Rye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29