2 Peck Ave Unit 27 A · Rye, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- Schools +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 1-bedroom garden-style co-op in the highly desirable Rye Colony community. Ideally located just moments from the train and vibrant downtown Rye, this home offers the perfect blend of convenience and tranquility. Step inside to find a thoughtfully renovated kitchen and bathroom, complemented by gleaming hardwood floors and freshly painted throughout. The layout is both functional and inviting, filled with natural light and designed for comfortable living. One of the standout features is the private outdoor space—enjoy your own deck just off the rear door, perfect for morning coffee or relaxing evenings or savor the fresh air in the front courtyard. S
Key facts
- Lush green space
- Renovated bathroom
- Front courtyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $285k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.5% in Rye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Rye City School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 93% proficiency, ranked #4 of 590 in NY (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Midland School (math 82% / reading 98%, grade A+, #37 of 2,108 statewide, top 2%, 460 students, 0% FRL); Rye Middle School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A+, #13 of 729 statewide, top 2%, 685 students, 0% FRL); Rye High School (math 100% / reading 87%, grade A+, #141 of 1,100 statewide, top 13%, 903 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.07%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $148,703
- Equity at exit
- $190,866
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $391,690
- Equity at exit
- $356,707
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10580
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,593 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$755
- Net cashflow
- $869
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 Purchase St Apt 12 Rye, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $5,000 | $4.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 199 Purchase St Unit 2 Rye, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $3,800 | $3.92 | 19d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 150 Theodore Fremd Ave Rye, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1320 | $3,395 | $2.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 99 Maple Ave Unit 3 Rye, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,300 | $4.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 127 Maple Ave Unit 2 Rye, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $4,600 | $5.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 118 Maple Ave Unit 1 Rye, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 194 1/2 S Main St Port Chester, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $2,996 | $4.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| S Ridge St , NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,950 | $3.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 66 Oak St Unit 2 R Port Chester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,395 | $2.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 36 Roanoke Ave #2 Rye Brook, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $3,100 | $3.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| Westchester Ave Unit A Port Chester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $3,015 | $2.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 113 S Water St Unit 4 Greenwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,985 | $2.98 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-16$285,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,450
- − Management
- −$3,450
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable income
- $6,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,504
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully updated 1-bedroom garden-style co-op in Rye Colony offers a good condition with fresh paint, updated kitchen and bathroom, and a private outdoor space. It is move-in ready and ready for a new owner to make it their own.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Reorganizing closet space — Improved organization increases functionality and visual appeal
- Both Landscaping and adding outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and provides a comfortable outdoor space
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Reorganizing closet space — Improved organization increases functionality and visual appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping and adding outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and provides a comfortable outdoor space ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rye City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625260
- Math proficiency
- 89% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 93% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $144,848
- Composite
- 85.84/100
- National rank
- #6
- State rank
- #4 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rye
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #7470
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rye, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 18,391
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,391
- Household income
- $250,001
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% German 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.64%
- Current HPI
- 321.5777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $285,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…