1849 bd · 1870.5 ba ·
27,152 sqft ·
Built 1971
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$133,864/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$56,636
Tax + insurance
−$18,066
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$28,111
Net cashflow
$31,050/mo
Annual
$372,597/yr
Cap rate
9.75%
Cash-on-cash
12.35%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$3,024,000
Investor read
This is a 43 × 43-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $10.80M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31k ($373k/yr) — positive. Per door: $722/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($134k rent vs $10.80M).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($10.15M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10.15M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $75k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $324k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3.02M cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RZZ5GG43AGR59Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29