3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,811/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$547
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,010
Net cashflow
$1,161/mo
Annual
$13,931/yr
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#493 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
Hendrick Hudson Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #143 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Blue Mountain Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #178 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 489 students, 31% FRL); Hendrick Hudson High School (math 87% / reading 84%, grade A, #358 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 727 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S086BY985F1BXQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29