167 14th St · Verplanck, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious opportunity in the riverfront hamlet of Verplanck. This 1.5-story Cape Cod offers a functional layout and bright interior spaces. The main level features a living room with neutral tones, an eat-in galley kitchen with breakfast bar seating and skylight, and a full bathroom. Set on a level lot, the property includes off-street parking and outdoor space suitable for a variety of uses. Conveniently located near the Hudson River, Cortlandt Waterfront Park, local dining, shopping, and area amenities. Commuter-friendly location with access to Metro-North and major highways.
Key facts
- 7,687 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport
- Utilities: Electric service by Con-Edison; Septic sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Clapboard construction
- Exterior features: Clapboard exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating with baseboard units; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Walk-through kitchen; Full walkup attic
- Laundry & utility: Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#493 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
- Hendrick Hudson Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #143 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Blue Mountain Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #178 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 489 students, 31% FRL); Hendrick Hudson High School (math 87% / reading 84%, grade A, #358 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 727 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.47%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $477,400
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 12th St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (-2%) | 24mo | $535,000 | $499 | 71 |
| 160 3rd St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+7%) | 18mo | $510,000 | $434 | 43 |
| 78 Tate Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,038 (-6%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $323 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $153,450
- Equity at exit
- $212,860
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $406,309
- Equity at exit
- $356,854
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10596
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,010
- Net cashflow
- $1,161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 Craft Ln Buchanan, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $4,811 | $4.94 | 1d | 91 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-11$399,000 Active
-
2026-04-08historical $399,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,574 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,658 · $472/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,085/yr (+$90/mo · 23.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,732
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$4,574
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,619
- − Management
- −$4,619
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable income
- $7,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,913
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,018/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendrick Hudson Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614190
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,159
- Composite
- 60.49/100
- National rank
- #846
- State rank
- #143 of 590 in NY
Livability — Verplanck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #493
- US rank
- #8666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Verplanck, NY
- City population
- 657
- Population (ZIP)
- 657
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 5% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 12% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Current HPI
- 160.2183
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+30.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,574 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…