1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$168
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-900/yr
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.93%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-900/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (12.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (27.2% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#384 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Pewamo-Westphalia Community Schools (rural): math 57% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #34 of 540 in MI (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Pewamowestphalia Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #105 of 1,397 statewide, top 9%, 190 students, 40% FRL); Pewamowestphalia Middlehigh School (math 56% / reading 66%, grade C+, #68 of 713 statewide, top 10%, 468 students, 14% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S08YB2EM2C27J3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29