4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,874 sqft ·
Built 1908
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,499/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,879
Tax + insurance
−$853
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$945
Net cashflow
$-178/mo
Annual
$-2,137/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.39%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$153,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $549k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-89/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $518k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $450k (18.1% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $450k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: La Escuelita (272 students, 91% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 68% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $265k; list at $549k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,499/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 3757% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S0CTAW2E2KTGGH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29