2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,270 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 291 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,981/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$780
HOA
−$3,148
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$836
Net cashflow
$-2,346/mo
Annual
$-28,156/yr
Cap rate
-1.44%
Cash-on-cash
-27.61%
DSCR
-0.23
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $298k).
It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: President Thomas Jefferson Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #73 of 183 statewide, top 41%, 340 students, 55% FRL); President George Washington Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #17 of 42 statewide, top 39%, 569 students, 61% FRL); Kaimuki High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #35 of 43 statewide, top 86%, 620 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 39% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 79% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 813 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $182k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $298k implies a 474% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -1.4% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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