🏷️ Likely Rental
1910 Ala Moana Blvd Unit 19A · Urban Honolulu, HI
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$298,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
just across from Hilton Hawaiian Village, this expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit, providing the perfect spot to enjoy scenic views of Fort DeRussy Park and Waikiki. The property is ideally located within walking distance of shopping, dining, and world-renowned beaches, ensuring both convenience and a lifestyle of leisure. Land Lease rent $883.20/month. Sandwich lease was already paid off.
Key facts
- $3,148 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $298k).
- Recommended offer: $262k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate -1.4% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: President Thomas Jefferson Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #73 of 183 statewide, top 41%, 340 students, 55% FRL); President George Washington Middle School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #17 of 42 statewide, top 39%, 569 students, 61% FRL); Kaimuki High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #35 of 43 statewide, top 86%, 620 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 39% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 813 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $182k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $298k implies a 474% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 79% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- -1.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -27.61%
- DSCR
- -0.23
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $408,802
- List price
- $298,000
- Delta
- -27.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.74% appreciation · 6.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-103,031
- Equity at exit
- $129,700
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-128,520
- Equity at exit
- $196,608
Cash invested: $83,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96815
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 813
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,563
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,756/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$3,148
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$836
- Net cashflow
- $-2,346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,178 | -5% $-2,262 | +0% $-2,346 | +5% $-2,431 | +10% $-2,515 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,661 | -5% $-2,504 | +0% $-2,346 | +5% $-2,189 | +10% $-2,032 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,196 | -0.5pp $-2,271 | base $-2,346 | +0.5pp $-2,424 | +1.0pp $-2,502 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,500
- Closing costs
- $8,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1910 Ala Moana Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $4,975 | $4.02 | 5d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 1860 Ala Moana Blvd #1809 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $3,800 | $3.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1860 Ala Moana Blvd Unit 902B Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $3,100 | $2.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 469 Ena Rd Honolulu, HI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1098 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 19d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 469 Ena Rd Honolulu, HI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1098 | $2,990 | $2.72 | 5d | 4 | 0.07mi |
| 469 Ena Rd #1501 Honolulu, HI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1249 | $4,000 | $3.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1837 Kalakaua Ave Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $4,850 | $4.83 | 5d | 3 | 0.11mi |
| 1837 Kalakaua Ave Unit 28032803 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $5,500 | $4.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1717 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $2,750 | $2.68 | 5d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 1888 Kalakaua Ave Honolulu, HI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2176 | $6,500 | $2.99 | 5d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 1717 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $3,350 | $3.63 | 46d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Unit 1327706P Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $4,437 | $4.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1282 | $4,825 | $3.76 | 18d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1301 | $4,575 | $3.52 | 45d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1220 | $5,750 | $4.71 | 25d | 4 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1220 | $5,750 | $4.71 | 22d | 4 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln #2604 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $5,750 | $3.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 343 Hobron Ln Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1365 | $4,800 | $3.52 | 16d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 1804 Ala Moana Blvd Unit 15A Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $3,375 | $3.52 | 5d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1645 Ala Wai Blvd #1002 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,400 | $3.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 430 Keoniana St Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $2,900 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1551 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1140 | $5,750 | $5.04 | 18d | 6 | 0.22mi |
| 1551 Ala Wai Blvd Unit 1327707P Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $5,868 | $5.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 475 Atkinson Dr Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $3,000 | $3.76 | 23d | 3 | 0.33mi |
| 475 Atkinson Dr Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $3,000 | $3.51 | 25d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 1750 Kalakaua Ave #2704 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $3,300 | $3.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 421 Olohana St #2003 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $4,200 | $4.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1650 Ala Moana Blvd #3709 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $6,000 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1650 Ala Moana Blvd #1611 Honolulu, HI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $3,100 | $3.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1650 Ala Moana Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $4,500 | $3.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2014 Fern St Honolulu, HI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $3,000 | $3.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1631 Kapiolani Blvd #3301 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $3,675 | $4.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1631 Kapiolani Blvd #3511 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $3,750 | $4.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 430 Kaiolu St #1101 Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $3,900 | $2.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2121 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1006 | $4,150 | $4.12 | 5d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 2121 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1006 | $4,400 | $4.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2121 Ala Wai Blvd Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1006 | $4,200 | $4.17 | 23d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 223 Saratoga Rd Honolulu, HI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1417 | $8,200 | $5.78 | 45d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 500 University Ave Honolulu, HI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 826 | $3,200 | $3.87 | 13d | 3 | 0.51mi |
| 500 University Ave Honolulu, HI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $3,150 | $2.81 | 12d | 2 | 0.51mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $3,148 · $37,776/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $298,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $298,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $298,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $298,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $298,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $298,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $298,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $298,000 Active Under Contract 274 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $298,000 Active Under Contract 273 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $298,000 Active Under Contract 272 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $298,000 Active Under Contract 271 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $298,000 Active Under Contract 270 DOM
-
2026-02-27price $298,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
just across from Hilton Hawaiian Village, this expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit, providing the perfect spot to enjoy scenic views of Fort DeRussy Park and Waikiki. The property is ideally located within walking distance of shopping, dining, and world-renowned beaches, ensuring both convenience and a lifestyle of leisure. Land Lease rent $883.20/month. Sandwich lease was already paid off.
-
2025-12-15price $379,000 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
just across from Hilton Hawaiian Village, this expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit, providing the perfect spot to enjoy scenic views of Fort DeRussy Park and Waikiki. The property is ideally located within walking distance of shopping, dining, and world-renowned beaches, ensuring both convenience and a lifestyle of leisure. Land Lease rent $883.20/month. Sandwich lease was already paid off.
-
2025-10-30price $479,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
just across from Hilton Hawaiian Village, this expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit, providing the perfect spot to enjoy scenic views of Fort DeRussy Park and Waikiki. The property is ideally located within walking distance of shopping, dining, and world-renowned beaches, ensuring both convenience and a lifestyle of leisure. Land Lease rent $883.20/month. Sandwich lease was already paid off.
-
2025-09-01$480,000 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
just across from Hilton Hawaiian Village, this expansive 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom unit, providing the perfect spot to enjoy scenic views of Fort DeRussy Park and Waikiki. The property is ideally located within walking distance of shopping, dining, and world-renowned beaches, ensuring both convenience and a lifestyle of leisure. Land Lease rent $883.20/month. Sandwich lease was already paid off.
-
2025-06-05historical
-
2024-06-18$435,000 Active
-
2016-12-23soldstatus $51,887
-
2016-12-23soldstatus $50,446
-
1988-12-01soldstatus $340,000
-
1988-12-01soldstatus $710,300
-
1987-04-15soldstatus $330,000
-
1985-12-01soldstatus $255,000
-
1985-10-30soldstatus $255,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast HI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,756 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,756 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,693
- − Property taxes
- −$2,756
- − Insurance
- −$6,608
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,822
- − Management
- −$3,822
- − HOA
- −$37,776
- − Depreciation
- −$8,669
- Taxable loss
- −$32,376
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,770
- After-tax cash flow
- $-20,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Urban Honolulu
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- County
- Honolulu County · 963,448 people
- City population
- 309,956
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,530
- Household income
- $77,096
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2422.0
Population outlook (Honolulu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,072,641 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,460 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,181,593 · +10.2%
- By 2050
- 1,257,584 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 1,501,120 · +39.9%
- By 2100
- 1,764,430 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 41% White 35% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Pacific Islander 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 15% Chinese 5% Korean 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Honolulu
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.6) · D 59.9% · R 38.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.1pp · 2024: 21.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.6 2020: D+26.9 2016: D+29.9 2012: D+39.1 2008: D+41.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Current HPI
- 291.9404
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.00%
- Metro
- Urban Honolulu, HI
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+16.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $298,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $379,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $479,999 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $480,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2025-06-05 Listing Removed — HiCentral MLS
- 2024-06-18 Listed $435,000 HiCentral MLS
- 2016-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,446 Public Records
- 2016-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $51,887 Public Records
- 1988-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $710,300 Public Records
- 1988-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records
- 1987-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
- 1985-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 1985-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2022): $2,756 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…