313 Holmes St

Frankfort, KY 40601

$110,000B

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 21 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,594/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax + insurance: −$70
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $612/mo
• Annual: $7,349/yr
• Cap rate: 12.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.86%
• DSCR: 2.06
• 1% rule: 1.45%
• Cash to close: $30,800

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#111 in KY, #4,772 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
• Frankfort Independent (town): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #45 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Second Street School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #329 of 676 statewide, top 49%, 571 students, 53% FRL); Frankfort High School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #6 of 254 statewide, top 2%, 322 students, 40% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 123 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 3.3% in Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.