3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,923/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$133
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$404
Net cashflow
$-416/mo
Annual
$-4,986/yr
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.14%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-416 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (25.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (33.7% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#560 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29