3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,422 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,666/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,091
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-657/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.13%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$58,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-657/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (4.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in AR, #4,487 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Bryant School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 238 in AR (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Salem Elementary School (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #109 of 454 statewide, top 25%, 479 students, 46% FRL); Bethel Middle School (math 62% / reading 58%, grade B, #11 of 201 statewide, top 5%, 709 students, 43% FRL); Bryant High School (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #43 of 292 statewide, top 15%, 2,199 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 446 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saline County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $149k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Bryant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S132HCD63J1S8K
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29