1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
440 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$99
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$350/mo
Annual
$4,199/yr
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.48%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $77k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 47% / reading 29%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 668 students, 67% FRL); Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $63k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 1.7% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Old and outdated
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Small and outdated
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and exposed
Major: flooring
— Worn and outdated
Major: interior walls/paint
— Worn and outdated
Major: windows
— Old and single-pane
CashFlowRE · CFR-S1JM6SAV09VPGF
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29