3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$215
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$524/mo
Annual
$6,289/yr
Cap rate
21.63%
Cash-on-cash
54.79%
DSCR
3.44
1% rule
2.49%
Cash to close
$11,480
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $40k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#944 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
Genesee Valley Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #453 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S26FSBEHVH433Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29