83 Mechanic St · Angelica, NY 14709

$41,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market

Built 1937 0.95 ac lot ↓ 41% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.4/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• 0.95 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1937

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation
• Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Corner lot; Irregular lot; Residential lot; Road frontage on a city street

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance noted)
• Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (including bedroom count in room total)
• Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Various flooring types
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
• Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Great room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
• Recommended offer: $40k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#944 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
• Genesee Valley Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #453 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
• Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $40,385 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.79%
• DSCR: 3.44
• GRM: 3.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $139,680
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
85 High St	0.26mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,072 (+10%)	15mo	$85,000	$79	53
161 Olean St	0.44mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,080 (+11%)	15mo	$155,000	$144	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 59.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.30×
• Total profit: $37,887
• Equity at exit: $17,958

10-year hold

• IRR: 59.3%
• Equity multiple: 8.72×
• Total profit: $88,681
• Equity at exit: $27,309

Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14709

• Home prices YoY: 1.0%
• Active inventory: 20
• Price-to-rent: 3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,022 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$215
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$51 /mo · $615/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$215
• Net cashflow: $524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359

Max offer price $41,000

Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,250
• Closing costs: $1,230
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $41,000 Active 22 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $41,000 Active 21 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $41,000 Active 20 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $41,000 Active 19 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $41,000 Active 17 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $41,000 Active 16 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $41,000 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $41,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $41,000 Active 11 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $41,000 Active 9 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $41,000 Active 7 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $41,000 Active 6 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $41,000 Active 5 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $41,000 Active 4 DOM
15. 2026-05-27
    listed $41,000 Active
16. 2019-03-04
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,265
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,297
• − Property taxes: −$615
• − Insurance: −$205
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$981
• − Management: −$981
• − Depreciation: −$1,193
• Taxable income: $5,993
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,438
• After-tax cash flow: $4,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Genesee Valley Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3600017
• Math proficiency: 52% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,704
• Composite: 45.0/100
• National rank: #5858
• State rank: #453 of 755 in NY

Livability — Angelica

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #944
• US rank: #18364

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Angelica, NY
• Population (ZIP): 1,190

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 45,362 people
• By 2030: 43,078 · -5.0%
• By 2040: 38,031 · -16.2%
• By 2050: 33,634 · -25.9%
• By 2075: 25,285 · -44.3%
• By 2100: 18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.79%
• Current HPI: 270.867
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-41.4% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $41,000 WNYREIS
• 2019-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,487 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.