27 Brown St

Baldwinsville, NY 13027

$217,500C+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · Built 1951 · SingleFamily · Active · 4 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,573/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,141
• Tax + insurance: −$622
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$540
• Net cashflow: $271/mo
• Annual: $3,250/yr
• Cap rate: 7.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.34%
• DSCR: 1.24
• 1% rule: 1.18%
• Cash to close: $60,900

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#199 in NY, #3,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, commute F.
• Baldwinsville Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Harry E Elden Elementary School (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #1,177 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 479 students, 36% FRL); Donald S Ray School (math 32% / reading 51%, grade F, #394 of 729 statewide, top 55%, 846 students, 31% FRL); Charles W Baker High School (math 97% / reading 70%, grade A, #435 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,281 students, 28% FRL).
• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $140k; list at $218k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.8% in Baldwinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.