3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,283/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$122/mo
Annual
$1,461/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (0.6% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#250 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Fort Towson (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #477 of 513 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and may need repainting.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated and could be updated with new ones.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Basic and could be replaced with modern ones.
Moderate: HVAC system
— Visible wear and may need maintenance or replacement.
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas need trimming and planting.
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· Data 7 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29