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1030 Lakeside Dr
C- Composite 51.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$129,000

1030 Lakeside Dr · Fort Towson, OK 75735
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 1979 Fair condition 0.69 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfect weekend getaway, AirBnB or your own dream lake house. Just a few steps from beautiful Lake Raymond Gary is this darling A frame home. Sitting on over half an acre with mature trees with plenty of room to expand or build another structure. Welcome into the living area with vaulted ceiling, eating bar and dining area. This dining area does have a closet and access to the downstairs full bath making it ideal for dual purpose if needing a bedroom on the first floor. Cozy kitchen that doubles as utility room. Make your way upstairs via the wrought iron spiral stairs and find 3 bedrooms and a half bath. One bedroom features a balcony where you can view the scenery, another has access to a

Key facts

  • A frame home
  • Balcony
  • Lake house

Tags

LAKE HOUSEA FRAME HOMEMATURE TREESWROUGHT IRON SPIRAL STAIRSBALCONYSMALL PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Will not subdivide
  • Financial info: Accepted financing: Cash or Conventional; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered space; 1 carport space; Circular driveway
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Co-op electric; All-weather road access; Not located in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence (residential); Attached property; Built in 1979; Entry on corner lot; Subdivision: Holiday Lake
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Year built 1979
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Partial fencing; Corner lot; Level lot; Large grassy backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Kitchen located on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom located on second floor
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Slab foundation (building); No fireplaces
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Two levels; 3 total rooms (living/dining/kitchen)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (0.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#250 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Towson (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #477 of 513 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,080
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1064 Lakeside Dr 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (+4%) 1mo $300,000 $185 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$23,311
Equity at exit
$58,004
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$72,169
Equity at exit
$89,391

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 75735

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,128
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-04-13
    listed $129,000 Active
  16. 2024-01-19
    historical
  17. 2023-09-25
    price $125,000
  18. 2023-08-10
    price $154,900
  19. 2023-07-20
    listed $159,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,390
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,935
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$151
After-tax cash flow
$1,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This A-frame home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include exterior siding, kitchen cabinets, and HVAC system. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality, making it a more attractive option for buyers or renters.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and may need repainting.
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated and could be updated with new ones.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Basic and could be replaced with modern ones.
  • Moderate HVAC system — Visible wear and may need maintenance or replacement.
  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming and planting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Updating kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value.
  • Resale Replacing bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered and may need repainting. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Kitchen cabinets · Dated and could be updated with new ones. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Basic and could be replaced with modern ones. Minor $500–3,000
HVAC system · Visible wear and may need maintenance or replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · Overgrown areas need trimming and planting. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $7,500–39,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Updating kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value.
  • Resale Replacing bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Towson
NCES district ID
4012300
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,759
Composite
15.74/100
National rank
#14326
State rank
#477 of 513 in OK

Livability — Fort Towson

Score
62/100
State rank
#250
US rank
#16654

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Towson, OK

Population outlook (Choctaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,744 people
By 2030
14,568 · -1.2%
By 2040
14,225 · -3.5%
By 2050
13,960 · -5.3%
By 2075
13,775 · -6.6%
By 2100
13,408 · -9.1%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-19 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-09-25 Price Changed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-08-10 Price Changed $154,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $159,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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