1030 Lakeside Dr · Fort Towson, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect weekend getaway, AirBnB or your own dream lake house. Just a few steps from beautiful Lake Raymond Gary is this darling A frame home. Sitting on over half an acre with mature trees with plenty of room to expand or build another structure. Welcome into the living area with vaulted ceiling, eating bar and dining area. This dining area does have a closet and access to the downstairs full bath making it ideal for dual purpose if needing a bedroom on the first floor. Cozy kitchen that doubles as utility room. Make your way upstairs via the wrought iron spiral stairs and find 3 bedrooms and a half bath. One bedroom features a balcony where you can view the scenery, another has access to a
Key facts
- A frame home
- Balcony
- Lake house
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Will not subdivide
- Financial info: Accepted financing: Cash or Conventional; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered space; 1 carport space; Circular driveway
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Co-op electric; All-weather road access; Not located in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence (residential); Attached property; Built in 1979; Entry on corner lot; Subdivision: Holiday Lake
- Construction: Slab foundation; Year built 1979
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Partial fencing; Corner lot; Level lot; Large grassy backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Kitchen located on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom located on second floor
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Slab foundation (building); No fireplaces
- Interior features: Cable TV available; Two levels; 3 total rooms (living/dining/kitchen)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#250 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Towson (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #477 of 513 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.04%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,080
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1064 Lakeside Dr | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+4%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $185 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $23,311
- Equity at exit
- $58,004
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $72,169
- Equity at exit
- $89,391
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75735
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$129,000 Active
-
2024-01-19historical
-
2023-09-25price $125,000
-
2023-08-10price $154,900
-
2023-07-20$159,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$631
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$151
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This A-frame home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include exterior siding, kitchen cabinets, and HVAC system. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and functionality, making it a more attractive option for buyers or renters.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and may need repainting.
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated and could be updated with new ones.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Basic and could be replaced with modern ones.
- Moderate HVAC system — Visible wear and may need maintenance or replacement.
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming and planting.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Resale Updating kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value.
- Resale Replacing bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics.
- Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency.
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered and may need repainting. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated and could be updated with new ones. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Basic and could be replaced with modern ones. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC system · Visible wear and may need maintenance or replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown areas need trimming and planting. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $7,500–39,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Updating kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value. ↑
- Resale Replacing bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Towson
- NCES district ID
- 4012300
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,759
- Composite
- 15.74/100
- National rank
- #14326
- State rank
- #477 of 513 in OK
Livability — Fort Towson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #250
- US rank
- #16654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Towson, OK
Population outlook (Choctaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,744 people
- By 2030
- 14,568 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 14,225 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 13,960 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 13,775 · -6.6%
- By 2100
- 13,408 · -9.1%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-19.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $129,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-19 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-09-25 Price Changed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $154,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-07-20 Listed $159,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…