2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
726 sqft ·
Built 1952
· Other
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$821/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$172
Net cashflow
$303/mo
Annual
$3,639/yr
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
25.99%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($821 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $480 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#523 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Buchanan County Public School District (rural): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #76 of 131 in VA (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary/Middle (math 49% / reading 60%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 750 students, 88% FRL); Grundy High (math 77% / reading 72%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 355 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 62% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buchanan County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S3GADQ0YGW8BAN
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29