3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,866/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$-108/mo
Annual
$-1,296/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (18.5% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#50 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Meigs County (rural): math 16% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #122 of 139 in TN (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Meigs North Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Meigs Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #198 of 333 statewide, top 61%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Meigs County High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 538 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Meigs County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $37k; list at $229k implies a 519% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.8% in Spring City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S4QJRR7CB8F8RV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29