2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,863 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,006/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,093
Tax + insurance
−$568
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$-2,077/mo
Annual
$-24,921/yr
Cap rate
2.07%
Cash-on-cash
-15.09%
DSCR
0.33
1% rule
0.34%
Cash to close
$165,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $590k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (62.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (66.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $201k (66.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $63k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $59k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in WA, #1,036 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
Griffin School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #28 of 291 in WA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Griffin School (577 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$101k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S5P0JGA12N1ZAF
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29