2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,043/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$375
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$277/mo
Annual
$3,319/yr
Cap rate
19.62%
Cash-on-cash
47.61%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
4.19%
Cash to close
$6,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $232 of equity ($172 loan paydown + $60 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Northwestern SD (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #333 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant damage
Major: windows
— Significant damage
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but siding condition suggests underlying issues
CashFlowRE · CFR-S6ENG20ZR97H1H
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29