2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,968/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$960
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$271
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$231/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$51,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $183k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($231/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $183k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,176 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $183k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown bushes and lack of maintenance
Major: Patio
— Worn and in need of repair
CashFlowRE · CFR-S7TEVQBEEHZDHQ
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29