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44 Beehunter Ct
D+ Composite 45.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$183,000

44 Beehunter Ct · Rapids, NY 14051
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Condo · 26 Days on market
Built 1973 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great one bedroom first floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nice size dining room and spacious living room, rear patio off living room and storage space. Carpet 2017, Appliances are included. Dishwasher 2019, Stove 2017, Refrigerator. Pets may be allowed with the approval from the HOA. Common coin-in laundry room on the first floor. Annual membership $350 in Ransom Oaks, include use of club house, swimming pool & tennis court.

Key facts

  • Shared laundry
  • Fully updated
  • Tennis courts

Tags

FULLY UPDATEDSTORAGE SHEDSHARED LAUNDRYPETS ALLOWEDINGROUND POOLTENNIS COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $183k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($231/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $183k).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,176 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $183k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $180,255 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-22,969
Equity at exit
$27,286
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$5,146
Equity at exit
$15,822

Cash invested: $51,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14051

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$960
Tax est. 1.5%
$229 /mo · $2,745/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
$271
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,944
Max offer price $183,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $146 -5% $82 +0% $19 +5% $-44 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-136 -5% $-58 +0% $19 +5% $97 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $111 -0.5pp $66 base $19 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-76

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,750
Closing costs
$5,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45 Beehunter Ct Unit D East Amherst, NY 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,850 $1.68 45d 1 0.02mi
20 Dockside Pkwy East Amherst, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $2,140 $1.91 3d 11 1.22mi
4410-4420 N French Rd East Amherst, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1176 $2,222 $1.89 3d 1 1.42mi
5 Autumn Creek Ln East Amherst, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1120 $2,053 $1.83 3d 10 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $183,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $183,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $183,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $183,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $183,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $183,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $183,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $183,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $183,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $183,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $183,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $183,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $183,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $183,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $183,000 Active
  17. 2019-07-25
    soldstatus $80,325 Closed Sale or Rented 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great one bedroom first floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nice size dining room and spacious living room, rear patio off living room and storage space. Carpet 2017, Appliances are included. Dishwasher 2019, Stove 2017, Refrigerator. Pets may be allowed with the approval from the HOA. Common coin-in laundry room on the first floor. Annual membership $350 in Ransom Oaks, include use of club house, swimming pool & tennis court.

  18. 2019-06-11
    status Pending Sale 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great one bedroom first floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nice size dining room and spacious living room, rear patio off living room and storage space. Carpet 2017, Appliances are included. Dishwasher 2019, Stove 2017, Refrigerator. Pets may be allowed with the approval from the HOA. Common coin-in laundry room on the first floor. Annual membership $350 in Ransom Oaks, include use of club house, swimming pool & tennis court.

  19. 2019-05-28
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great one bedroom first floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nice size dining room and spacious living room, rear patio off living room and storage space. Carpet 2017, Appliances are included. Dishwasher 2019, Stove 2017, Refrigerator. Pets may be allowed with the approval from the HOA. Common coin-in laundry room on the first floor. Annual membership $350 in Ransom Oaks, include use of club house, swimming pool & tennis court.

  20. 2019-05-13
    listed $82,900 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Great one bedroom first floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nice size dining room and spacious living room, rear patio off living room and storage space. Carpet 2017, Appliances are included. Dishwasher 2019, Stove 2017, Refrigerator. Pets may be allowed with the approval from the HOA. Common coin-in laundry room on the first floor. Annual membership $350 in Ransom Oaks, include use of club house, swimming pool & tennis court.

  21. 2012-07-26
    soldstatus $54,000 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Welcome Home to this one bedroom 1st floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nothing to do but move in. Freshly painted throughout, newer carpet in bedroom- April '12, roof '04. 45% of the gas bill is reimbursed back to the buyer by the Association. Stove, dishwasher and refrigerator are included. Green space out your back door. Small pets allowed with approval from the association. Water is included in the HOA fee along with tennis courts, swimming pool and club house. minutes from the 990 for easy access to downtown

  22. 2012-04-24
    listed $60,000 510-char remark
    Show marketing remark (510 chars)

    Welcome Home to this one bedroom 1st floor condo in Glen Oaks. Nothing to do but move in. Freshly painted throughout, newer carpet in bedroom- April '12, roof '04. 45% of the gas bill is reimbursed back to the buyer by the Association. Stove, dishwasher and refrigerator are included. Green space out your back door. Small pets allowed with approval from the association. Water is included in the HOA fee along with tennis courts, swimming pool and club house. minutes from the 990 for easy access to downtown

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 38% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,619
− Mortgage interest
−$10,251
− Property taxes
−$2,745
− Insurance
−$915
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,890
− Management
−$1,890
− HOA
−$3,252
− Depreciation
−$5,324
Taxable loss
−$2,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$635
After-tax cash flow
$866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in fair condition with moderate rehabilitation needed, primarily focusing on the exterior and landscaping. Repairs and maintenance in these areas would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown bushes and lack of maintenance
  • Major Patio — Worn and in need of repair

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and patio repair — Improving curb appeal and increasing both resale and rental value
  • Both Painting exterior — Enhancing the home's appearance and increasing its value
  • Both Landscaping and patio repair — Improving curb appeal and increasing both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Overgrown bushes and lack of maintenance Major $15,000–50,000
Patio · Worn and in need of repair Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and patio repair — Improving curb appeal and increasing both resale and rental value
  • Both Painting exterior — Enhancing the home's appearance and increasing its value
  • Both Landscaping and patio repair — Improving curb appeal and increasing both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsville Central School District
NCES district ID
3631470
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$79,907
Composite
62.59/100
National rank
#678
State rank
#114 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rapids

Score
49/100
State rank
#1176
US rank
#25855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 714,559 people
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,739
Household income
$135,663
Rent vs Own
18.5% rent · 81.5% own
Severe rent burden
375.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Asian 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Italian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.55%
Current HPI
322.688
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+205.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $183,000 FSBO.com
  • 2019-07-25 Sold (MLS) $80,325 WNYREIS
  • 2019-06-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-05-28 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-05-13 Listed $82,900 WNYREIS
  • 2012-07-26 Sold (MLS) $54,000 WNYREIS
  • 2012-04-24 Listed $60,000 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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