4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,841 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,727/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-431/mo
Annual
$-5,173/yr
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.37%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (26.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (40.4% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (40.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Madison Cross Roads Elementary School (math 14% / reading 48%, grade F, #360 of 627 statewide, top 58%, 1,035 students, 59% FRL); Sparkman High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #58 of 305 statewide, top 19%, 1,738 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.5% in Meridianville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S8FWE72Q44GEXZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29