3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Other
· Under Contract
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$993/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$242/mo
Annual
$2,899/yr
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.18%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,054 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
Western CUSD 12 (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #395 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S9EZFG2YMHPSWS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29