190 S East St · Hull, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the quiet community of Hull, this 3-bedroom ranch offers a great opportunity for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to build sweat equity. Situated on approximately a 1/4-acre lot, this property features a full basement, attached carport, and a functional layout with plenty of potential to bring your vision to life. Work and clean-up are needed, but the possibilities are there for the right buyer. Spacious yard, solid footprint, and opportunity to add value make this property worth a look. Power is Off - Bring flashlight. Property being sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Attached carport
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One or more additional levels (multi-level layout); Built in 1960
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main level and upper/lower/basement levels present); Primary bedroom on main level with vinyl flooring (approx. 8 x 11); Second bedroom on main level with carpet (approx. 11 x 15); Third bedroom on main level with carpet (approx. 11 x 11); Additional bedroom/rooms on upper, lower, basement, and extra levels
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and most bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and one bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,054 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Western CUSD 12 (rural): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #395 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pike County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.18%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,677
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -18.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $5,025
- Equity at exit
- $16,314
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $27,185
- Equity at exit
- $13,757
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62343
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $993 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $742/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Under Contract 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Under Contract 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Under Contract 31 DOM
-
2026-04-27$85,000 Active 603-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $742 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,336 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$594/yr (+$49/mo · 80.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,919
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$742
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$953
- − Management
- −$953
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,610
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$386
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western CUSD 12
- NCES district ID
- 1701387
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,536
- Composite
- 19.14/100
- National rank
- #8826
- State rank
- #395 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hull
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1054
- US rank
- #20178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hull, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 726
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,069 people
- By 2030
- 14,505 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 13,340 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 12,159 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 9,227 · -38.8%
- By 2100
- 6,064 · -59.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 8% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.7) · D 17.4% · R 81.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -63.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.7 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+58.2 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.05%
- Current HPI
- 116.353
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $85,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $742 · -28.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…