2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$-58/mo
Annual
$-700/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.93%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-700/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (6.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#328 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Chautauqua County Community (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #236 of 280 in KS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Chautauqua County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $130k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S9V1MQ6NCCYAQ3
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29