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610 E Walnut St
D Composite 40.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$129,900

610 E Walnut St · Sedan, KS 67361
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1973

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Great patio area
  • Spacious fenced yard
  • Plenty of storage

Tags

NATURAL LIGHTUPDATED FLOORINGREMODELED BATHROOMSPACIOUS FENCED YARDGREAT PATIO AREAPLENTY OF STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-700/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (6.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#328 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Chautauqua County Community (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #236 of 280 in KS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $130k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,245 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.93%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$11,947
Equity at exit
$58,409
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$47,781
Equity at exit
$90,015

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67361

Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$-58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $121,453
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $31 -5% $-13 +0% $-58 +5% $-103 +10% $-148
Rent -10% $-142 -5% $-100 +0% $-58 +5% $-16 +10% $26
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-25 base $-58 +0.5pp $-92 +1.0pp $-126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $129,900 Active
  18. 1990-10-01
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,749
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,020
− Management
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,944
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$707
After-tax cash flow
$6/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chautauqua County Community
NCES district ID
2011520
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$37,570
Composite
23.91/100
National rank
#13201
State rank
#236 of 280 in KS

Livability — Sedan

Score
63/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#14996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sedan, KS
Population (ZIP)
1,797

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,024 people
By 2030
2,865 · -5.3%
By 2040
2,630 · -13.0%
By 2050
2,495 · -17.5%
By 2075
2,436 · -19.4%
By 2100
2,430 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Russian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.2) · D 13.8% · R 85.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.3pp toward R · 2008: -54.9pp · 2024: -71.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.2 2020: R+72.5 2016: R+71.3 2012: R+62.7 2008: R+54.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+159.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $129,900 FSBO.com
  • 1990-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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