2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,572 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,571
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$677
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$708
Net cashflow
$193/mo
Annual
$2,318/yr
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.76%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$83,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $273k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $593 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#351 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crystal Lakes Elementary School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 788 students, 37% FRL); Christa Mcauliffe Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #111 of 571 statewide, top 20%, 1,387 students, 35% FRL); Park Vista Community High School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 3,191 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $300k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-S9Y4177ZSKSNN2
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29