3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,155 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$370/mo
Annual
$4,434/yr
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
16.00%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#957 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Frankston ISD (rural): math 54% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #155 of 826 in TX (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Frankston El (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 373 students, 63% FRL); Frankston Middle (math 57% / reading 42%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 184 students, 62% FRL); Frankston H S (math 24% / reading 62%, grade F, #708 of 1,632 statewide, top 44%, 245 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SA277G343ASV4G
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29