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11148 Clover Ln
A Composite 86.17
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

11148 Clover Ln · Berryville, TX 75763
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,155 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1976 0.35 ac lot $86/sqft · 42% below area Est $170k · 42% under ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Wood floors
  • Additional lot

Tags

ADDITIONAL LOTSPACIOUS FENCED BACKYARDNEW KITCHEN APPLIANCESNEW METAL ROOFTANKLESS WATER HEATERWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: HOLIDAY HILLS 214

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family detached residence; Single story
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Lakefront on Lake Palestine

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Space heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Space heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#957 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Frankston ISD (rural): math 54% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #155 of 826 in TX (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Frankston El (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 373 students, 63% FRL); Frankston Middle (math 57% / reading 42%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 184 students, 62% FRL); Frankston H S (math 24% / reading 62%, grade F, #708 of 1,632 statewide, top 44%, 245 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
16.00%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,137
List price
$99,000
Delta
-41.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.1%
Equity multiple
3.80×
Total profit
$77,484
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
8.57×
Total profit
$209,730
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75763

Home prices YoY
22.2%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$370

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-03
    listed $99,000 Active 512-char remark
  16. 2024-09-19
    soldstatus Closed 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  17. 2024-09-19
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  18. 2024-09-07
    status Pending 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

  19. 2024-09-04
    historical
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  20. 2024-09-03
    historical Active Option Contract 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

  21. 2024-08-04
    price $110,000 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

  22. 2024-05-13
    price $125,000 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  23. 2024-05-13
    price $125,000
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  24. 2024-05-03
    listed $140,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat.

  25. 2024-04-22
    price $140,000 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

  26. 2024-04-12
    listed $150,000 Active 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Charming starter home or investment property nestled in the serene Lake Palestine community. This gem features an additional lot to the right, a spacious backyard, NEW HVAC SYSTEM, new kitchen appliances, new metal roof, tankless water heater and wood floors throughout. Fresh paint inside and outside. Large front porch deck. Enjoy access to the community boat launch, park, and lake swimming area for a nominal yearly fee of $75. NO HOA! Experience the tranquility of this quiet neighborhood on a large lot, perfect for first-time buyers or investors seeking a peaceful retreat. This home will not qualify for FHA or Conventional financing. 21st Mortgage will do the loan or CASH.

  27. 2017-09-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,684 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,812 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 7.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,258
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,684
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,052
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$3,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frankston ISD
NCES district ID
4819770
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,226
Composite
43.89/100
National rank
#2916
State rank
#155 of 826 in TX

Livability — Berryville

Score
62/100
State rank
#957
US rank
#17025

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berryville, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,319

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,471 people
By 2030
80,608 · +0.2%
By 2040
80,087 · -0.5%
By 2050
78,208 · -2.8%
By 2075
72,423 · -10.0%
By 2100
61,012 · -24.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.53%
Current HPI
295.14
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $99,000 GTAR
  • 2024-09-19 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2024-09-19 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2024-09-07 Pending NTREIS
  • 2024-09-04 Delisted GTAR
  • 2024-09-03 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2024-08-04 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-13 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-13 Price Changed $125,000 GTAR
  • 2024-05-03 Listed $140,000 GTAR
  • 2024-04-22 Price Changed $140,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-04-12 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-09-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,684 · +112.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…