4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,409 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 324 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,631
Tax + insurance
−$518
HOA
−$10
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$461
Net cashflow
$-426/mo
Annual
$-5,114/yr
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.87%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$87,090
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (18.7% below list).
It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hallsville H S (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,456 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hallsville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29