6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,484 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 206 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,879
Tax + insurance
−$860
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$994
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-8/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$153,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $549k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-8/yr) — negative. Per door: $0/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $549k (0.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $473k (13.8% below list).
It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($483k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $473k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#154 in FL, #2,315 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Sybelia Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 468 students, 51% FRL); Maitland Middle (math 62% / reading 61%, grade B+, #124 of 571 statewide, top 22%, 800 students, 47% FRL); Edgewater High (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,059 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $201k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $128k; list at $549k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.8% in Maitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,732/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 950% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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